Ukraine and risk

The rights of individuals are not the rights of states. A Ukraine is not separatist declaring independence and individuals are that secede from a state. The east is therefore not what Russia makes them and neither is Ukraine. The state in Russia has no legal right to interfere in the Ukraine if it has sovereignty, and logically should support the Ukraine against the east. Putin's widely published speech against Ukraine's sovereignty in Crimea, is complete nonsense and as is calling Ukraine separatist.

Leadership tactics show that Russia is failing badly and new insurrection is likely because of the gap in legitimacy. The Ukraine is also make a poor political decision in allowing the east to hold referendums and in not being more legitimate about its rights. Laudable it is, but Putin will not give them a second chance. He seems bent on covert military action and the society in Russia likes these strong arm tactics after the Cold War. Young Russians are keen to prove they can catch-up with the west. But rights of Ukraine does appeal to the west, and it is likely that there will be some kind of response if Ukraine fails.

Military reaction is the answer to Putin's troubles, like all dictators he has based his support in the army and gives foreign states an non-comital response. In other words he does not give them the time of day. Ukraine's freedom depend on an educated response from the west because the state has less economic power than Moscow. Russia too fears an educated response to this crisis. Russia is essentially a bureaucratic power relationship, and fails in supplying the population's needs.

America economic sanctions are meaningless except in individual terms, because Russia leaders control the money supply and the relationship to natural resources. But it is an expression of disgust and an educated threat. The east Ukraine is trying to change this relationship, and lacks education in its actions. A referendum being held as we speak will nullify the west in Russia's eyes and the gaffe in Putin's speech on Crimea. BUt will not harm the Ukrainian state or the west. But the east is its fear, and Russia fears its citizens.

The politics of west versus east is an old one, and Europe means nothing except a belief in democracy and institutions. Russia needs this legitimacy and Europe is a Russian tactic, not a physical reality except in the European Union. The west is a kind of economic relationship and it is is not essential. But freedom from European institutions is, and the EU is bound to defend the Ukraine. Is Russia claiming it must defeat them? I suggest the response is from Putin alone and the proof is in this referendum. A free vote is the answer to his political legitimacy, like any politician, and more violent reaction may eventually follow.