Congress is not ruled by its President and the Supreme Court is a check against Presidential power. The candidates in this election are becoming overtight about the next four years, and the victory is liable to be that of Congress and the politics a kind of game of darts. The collective psychology relies on past experience, I suggest a new movement is present, that of the political class, a kind of no man's land of black politics.
The nationalists in the 1960s were more aware, Vietnam, racial descrimination and conservative politics made them more aware and today acceptance is a double jeopardy. Do we support our President or our local boss. Pork barrel politics is as ever rife and the President is likely to lose. The candidate is less important than the employer, and elderly America is realising it. Foreign policy matters to the mavericks and recession is a way to split the vote.
The black candidate must use both feet, one is for running, the other hopping and America is still the land of the cowboy. The next President is likely to get out of Afghanistan and many links are already known. I wonder how white america views the choice of black or white President. Does black mean a loss of both rows on the abbacus. I ask why black matters to a voter in America, with war settled and home US in a double bind, should it vote against recession or lose the race to someone who will lose that race.
The Presidency matters more in the next four years for the candidate because electors expect action on previous promises, the winner between the horses is likely to offer least, but the 1960s show black candidates need a strong electoral turnout and a hard black image, does Obama in the next four years offer it? He needs to begin a new chapter, not win old battles and this means a move away from peace talk to war, and love thy neighbour to domestic upheaval against foreign competition.
The economics of the Presidency is also half full. Not more but less, Romney needs to assuage white America that he is a better President, not by imitating Obama, but throwing the gauntlet to his campaign team. Don't divide the campaign but make it stronger, offer something different and make policies that don't threaten the argument. I suggest Obama will win because of his colour, but that he will be a verbal genius not an historical one. The Presidency tends to go by outside events, and his vision has taken a divison between can do and make believe.
Disney is often the charge in peace time, a sort of Congressional aperplexy or low voter turnout. The politics of the Presidency is not decided by colour and Congessional politics is often an opposing degree, not a political argument. The senate must sound compromising amongst all these visionaries, I suggest it is black and white and the superpower is riven with social turmoil and foreign expeditionary adventures, the Presidency is a personal disappointment, and that matters in black politics for two reasons, firstly the leader must make a programme and he has few allies. Secondly the politician is opposing natural forces like a white Congressional majority and black rivals.
Thursday, September 06, 2012
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