Monday, September 12, 2016

China resigned

The conference in  China belittled the host nation, the British smiled and were sidelined and  the Americans showed little interest. I argue communications matter less than foundational positions, where does Britain hope to find its trade, and a retreating USA is unlikely to help this China embargo. The conference was spectatcular for  tv watchers, and Li Peng's nervousness was hardly noticed.

America is in one of those depressed moments when home truths matter more than foreign claims and ambitions. The Canadians have a new President and much more to live for than trade with the UK. But trade goes on while the whole world is in recession, when we climb out of it the upturn will overturn leaders and losers.

China is not concerned with local arguments like intra-trade to the US, but Britain's press liked to claim that Chinese workers had a right to work in the UK under national agreements. The conference was billed as an answer to Chinese unemployment in the west, and Russia looked conspiratorial about national aims  and balanced goals. I argue China and Russia have been left out of the Obama years, and only Russia has said something about it.

The American challenge to China is less considered than inopportune. Again it has shown itself to be schizophrenic in its division of aims. Balanced goals it relies on, because of division and decline in the world economy. But the UK lacks any of this credibility, and by leaving the EU has left its trading partners low in strength and aims.

Balanced goals are measured by conflict and surrounding tension. I argue the UK has undermined its national portfolio, but can regain the position. This does not have to be in Europe. The South African economy is strong and stable, so is the Canadian and North African. Its balanced goals can be ignored, but aims like strong trading links come with this cost.

America may regret its role, and change its mind. Europe maay open its targets as UK and non-aligned  countries. Russia may find peace a solution if its route is blocked. These kinds of economic delocalisation is popular here, Euriopean nations are too centralised and we need to find balance in economy, not arms

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