Friday, October 19, 2018

The identity of Saudi Arabia

The politics of an assassination has dual aims, the purpose of the attempt and the denial it was for the wrong reasons. The position over Khashoggi is real, its method international diplomacy and its denial a role reversal of America and the USSR. No-one is saying anything in Moscow and politics is to distance reality from the occasion. America is undermining faith in resolution of the conflict and Saudi admits logical steps to its guilt. Justice is against it, circumstantial evidence is logical in a reasoned way.

The position of Turkey where the event took place is clearly strong, but like all assassinations the evidence will betray. It comes from the backers of Saudi Arabia and regional partners bear its authenticity. The position is dual, Turkey has. a role in facilitating the death, the body removal and the accusation. The position is duplicitous and the politics is goal driven. The power about the rehabilitation of a. President and the conclusion murder.

Both parties have had a week to consider the script. President and Russia are getting along and positions have been laid on this issue. The threat is of more conflict, why has none arisen. Saudi has an interest, as does Turkey the neighbour. The politics is goal driven on exports and resistance to national enemies. I solve this analogy with a dual conclusion, who gains and who gets away with it. Saudi looses unless other backers have worse to offer it in retrospect.

The power matrix is biased toward targets, and solves the division of authority on social grounds. The political reason is economic and framework is political. The superpowers are easily mistaken as culprits. The position is frameworks based on prediction, one is the King, his recent tenure and the nature of the threat. Another the Turkish President and his reliance on Russia. The superpowers have let bias slip into the equation.

The politics is therefore nothing to do with culprits, the individuals part of a larger frame of social and economic motives. The social is reason and analysis and the economic inferential and supportive. I ask who could have done this, and who had reason to command it, quite different acts. The systems have been held up a  as blame game based on roulette and the purpose a social intention based on position.  I suggest the evidence is social and the principle is evaluative. The identity a sort of risk matrix and the prediction a win.

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